B2B Demand Forecasting Manager



Multiple locations
Posted on Monday, April 29, 2024

This is a great opportunity to join the Shell Energy Commercial team to manage the B2B Demand Forecasting Team, supporting the B2B retail supply business unit in the UK.

Where you fit in

At Shell Energy, we believe there’s a better way to power your business.

Aligned with Shell’s ambition to be a significant global power business and to become net zero by 2050, we are here to guide businesses to a better energy future. One that has the customer and a commitment to cleaner energy at the heart and makes it easy and affordable to embrace new technology.

We offer businesses across Britain 100% renewable electricity as standard. Our cleaner, affordable and simple solutions help companies manage their energy spend and plan their sustainability roadmap - a fresh approach for environmentally conscious businesses that are looking to boost their sustainability credentials. We also offer natural gas to our customers with the option of supplying green gas on request.

What’s the role?

Reporting into the Forecasting and Structuring Manager, the role requires a dedicated, engaging, and articulate individual that has a strong numerical, interpersonal and commercial skillset that can organise and manage competing priorities in a pressured environment.

You will be responsible for managing a team of 3 analysts, developing and growing the team, to work with senior leaders across pricing, commercial and trading to influence hedging strategies. You are required to implement new demand forecasting technologies and to drive change in other parts of the organisation to ensure your team have the tools, data and insights to delivery best in class demand forecasting performance.

More specific responsibilities include:

  • Manage a team of 4 analysts, ensuring that they are generating both short- & long-term forecasts for both electricity and gas in-line with agreed standards.
  • Continually look for opportunities to improve the demand forecasting performance, either from improving the quality of input data, the computations and algorithms used within the demand forecasting models or the checks and balances performed to avoid errors or mistakes with the outputs.
  • Collaborate with Structuring on contractual volume risk optimisation to ensure we are competitive while remaining cost reflective.
  • Develop strong working relationships with the Technology and Data & Insight function, recommend and implement a new demand forecasting system, de-risking legacy in—house processes whilst ensuring requirements are fit for our future customer growth and product set.
  • Support the team, ensuring clear roles and responsibilities, workloads are managed and individuals are developing their skills

What we need from you

We are keen to speak from individuals with extensive experience in a demand forecasting or similar role working for an energy company with exposure in directly managing or leading a team. You must also have a strong understanding of the retail energy market, industry and business datasets vital for generating accurate forecasts.

We also hope you possess the following skills and/or experience:

  • Excellent modelling skills, data extraction, manipulation and computational, using programme languages (SQL, Python, Visual Basic, R etc.)
  • Demonstrable experience of improving demand forecasting performance
  • Familiar with best practice methodologies for both short and long term forecasts
  • Experience in building demand forecasting models from scratch and comfortable working with existing code to resolve issues
  • Practical and hands on self-starter, able to take the initiative to get the job done
  • Strong communicator, able to distil complex issues, make clear recommendations to aid decision making
  • Strong academic record preferred

If you don't see yourself fully reflected in every job requirement listed on the posting above, we still encourage you to reach out and apply. Research has shown that not everyone often applies when they don’t feel 100% qualified. We are committed to creating a more equitable, inclusive, and diverse company and we strongly encourage applicants of all genders, ages, ethnicities, cultures, abilities, sexual orientation, and life experiences to apply. We look forward to receiving your application.


Shell started operations in the United Kingdom more than 110 years ago. Since then, we have grown into a leading innovative Oil & Energy company that rewards its employees by investing heavily in their careers and learning. Our people are our greatest asset, and our commitment to your career will see you thrive in a work environment that offers an industry-leading development programme. When your ideas travel, Shell will benefit, and innovation will thrive. Shell has a key role to play in helping meet the UK’s growing energy demand, whilst using innovative technologies to develop cleaner energy. We are the largest FTSE 100 company in the UK by market capitalisation and make a significant contribution to the UK economy. As well as processing 35% of the gas coming into the UK, we serve more than four million customers at our filling stations each week. Shell employs some 6,400 skilled staff as well as many contractors.

An innovative place to work

There’s never been a more exciting time to work at Shell.

Join us and you’ll be adding your talent and imagination to a business with the ambition to shape the future – whether by investing in oil, gas and renewable energy to meet demand, exploring new ways to store energy, or developing technology that helps the world to use energy more efficiently, everyone at Shell does their part.

An inclusive place to work

To power progress, we need to attract and develop the brightest minds and make sure every voice is heard. Here are just some of the ways we are nurturing an inclusive environment – one where you can express your ideas, extend your skills, and reach your potential.

  • We’re creating a space where people with disabilities can excel through transparent recruitment process, workplace adjustments and ongoing support in their roles. Feel free to let us know about your circumstances when you apply, and we’ll take it from there.
  • We’re closing the gender gap – whether that’s through action on equal pay or by enabling more women to reach senior roles in engineering and technology.
  • We’re striving to be a pioneer of an inclusive and diverse workplace, promoting equality for employees regardless of sexual orientation or gender identity.
  • We consider ourselves a flexible employer and want to support you finding the right balance. We encourage you to discuss this with us in your application.

A rewarding place to work

Combine our creative, collaborative environment and global operations with an impressive range of benefits and joining Shell becomes an inspired career choice.

We’re huge advocates for career development. We’ll encourage you to try new roles and experience new settings. By pushing people to reach their potential, we frequently help them find skills they never knew they had, or make career moves they never thought possible.